Win Deal Or No Deal

Ok you might not make it on the actual show but there are many sites where you can play Deal or No Deal online. Let me give you a few tips so you have a better chance of a win!

Firstly before you play for real money take the time to play online for free to get a good understanding of the game. If you can’t win when playing the free game then forget playing for real money.

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Make sure that the site you decide to play for real money offers a bonus. Most will offer a decent bonus for new sign ups so the chances are you can double your money before you even start the game. Check out our free game and bonus offers. Click Here For Our Free Game And Bonus Offers!

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You mathematicians out there will already have noticed that the expected value for Deal or No Deal is simply the arithmetic mean, or more simply, the average dollar amount remaining in the cases. Risk aside, accepting a “deal” for less than the mean should generally be regarded as a gutless, weak decision, and the contestant should be ridiculed accordingly. However, late in the game, if a savvy contestant were to wrangle an amount out of the banker that is greater than the mean, then he or she ought to be carted off stage like Mike Ditka after the ‘85 Super Bowl.

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Okay, so maybe that’s a bit of an exaggeration, but I invite you to look at things in a purely mathematical light here. If you don’t consider “luck” to be of any help to you (and you shouldn’t – although I see you over there with that scratch-off lottery ticket!), then when you begin the game, your goal ought to be to “beat the mean.” Obviously, the mean changes as suitcases are removed, but regardless of the mean at any given time, your goal should remain the same: beat the mean.

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Let’s say that you got unlucky and blew off the 13 most valuable cases on your first 13 suitcase removals. It should be abundantly clear at this point that you’re not going to walk out with a wad of cash, but you should still be expecting no less than $185.85, which is the mean. If you made it to this particular point in the game and the banker were to offer you $200, then in my less-than-humble opinion, you’d be an idiot not to take it. If you prefer facts to my freewheeling opinions, then try this on: it would be a statistical mistake not to accept this offer.

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